Edition 2026-10-28 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1513

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1511

Boston's forecast for Sunday has moved 10°F colder

48°F in the 20261025T18:00Z run, 39°F in the 20261027T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 1 at 06Z in Boston, that trail runs from 48.3°F in the 20261025T18:00Z cycle to 38.6°F in the 20261027T12:00Z — a move of -9.7°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
12.4 °F normal 9.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1511 · laid 2026-10-27T22:25:26Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261027T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a712115643fadf143faed795ac1c31588b05aebbd1da0fffa792810a4ee21374
Machine
JSON