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Milepost
1508

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1508

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 12°F colder

56°F in the 20261025T12:00Z run, 44°F in the 20261027T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 31 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 55.5°F in the 20261025T12:00Z cycle to 43.6°F in the 20261027T06:00Z — a move of -12.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-12 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
10.8 °F normal 12.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1508 · laid 2026-10-27T16:25:25Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261027T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a39827371184e9df465dff744f1ec5b42b472922951aa0efe8f1e6dc4a6b8241
Machine
JSON