Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 12°F colder
56°F in the 20261025T12:00Z run, 44°F in the 20261027T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 31 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 55.5°F in the 20261025T12:00Z cycle to 43.6°F in the 20261027T06:00Z — a move of -12.0°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
| forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-12 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
10.8 °F | normal 12.0 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1508 · laid 2026-10-27T16:25:25Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261027T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- a39827371184e9df465dff744f1ec5b42b472922951aa0efe8f1e6dc4a6b8241
- Machine
- JSON