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Milepost
1508

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1506

Denver's forecast for Tuesday has moved 13°F colder

60°F in the 20261025T12:00Z run, 47°F in the 20261027T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 3 at 18Z in Denver, that trail runs from 60.1°F in the 20261025T12:00Z cycle to 47.0°F in the 20261027T06:00Z — a move of -13.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-13.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16 °F normal 13.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1506 · laid 2026-10-27T16:25:25Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261027T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
1d16a3d1b3a129de20c9e897e042c371011e020cb160538c449dce32d54e77b8
Machine
JSON