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Milepost
1505

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1505

Denver's forecast for Monday has moved 12°F colder

63°F in the 20261025T12:00Z run, 51°F in the 20261026T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, November 2 at 21Z in Denver, that trail runs from 63.0°F in the 20261025T12:00Z cycle to 51.3°F in the 20261026T18:00Z — a move of -11.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-11.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18.5 °F normal 11.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1505 · laid 2026-10-27T04:25:22Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261026T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
0be51254dbe754ff30f15bde6b524cc5182b281d895ea4ca6a42219ad3eb4206
Machine
JSON