Edition 2026-10-26 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1501

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 26 October 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1500

Dallas's forecast for Friday has moved 7°F colder

79°F in the 20261024T00:00Z run, 72°F in the 20261025T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 30 at 21Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 78.9°F in the 20261024T00:00Z cycle to 72.4°F in the 20261025T18:00Z — a move of -6.5°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-6.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.3 °F normal 6.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1500 · laid 2026-10-26T04:25:24Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261025T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
bde284c8c8d0304179e537f140e0e0136e0babbb54bef5ee8952534260fb5670
Machine
JSON