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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 150

December 4, 2023

Strong winter storm potential into Great Lakes this weekend

What the month did

December 2023 was the warmest December in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 39.8°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 34.3°F (+5.4°F).

December 2023 was the 49th-wettest December in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.6in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (+0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

This winter storm is the only show in town for major winter impacts this weekend, but the overall likelihood of heavy snow is not very high when looking past the HRES to the ensembles. However, it’s a good idea to show the baseline forecast from HRES and then iterate from there over the next 1-2 days as the forecast evolves.

Tuesday Significant Weather

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Milepost
150 · laid 2023-12-05T00:18:12.701000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/december-4-2023
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