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Milepost
1498

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 25 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1498

Minneapolis's forecast for Tuesday has moved 7°F warmer

55°F in the 20261023T18:00Z run, 63°F in the 20261025T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 27 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 55.1°F in the 20261023T18:00Z cycle to 62.6°F in the 20261025T12:00Z — a move of +7.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 2
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
14.7 °F normal 7.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1498 · laid 2026-10-25T22:25:26Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261025T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
d858fbb50345e6601565c3dc0ef790727506ed34cfadf4e8fd8046424825d8b3
Machine
JSON