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Milepost
1493

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 24 October 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1493

Kansas City's forecast for Friday has moved 10°F warmer

59°F in the 20261022T18:00Z run, 70°F in the 20261024T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 7°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 30 at 03Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 59.5°F in the 20261022T18:00Z cycle to 69.7°F in the 20261024T12:00Z — a move of +10.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 03Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
7.4 °F normal 10.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1493 · laid 2026-10-24T22:25:22Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261024T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a8ccb559b8cc3439d0ee93f45ce003d7f9cea0b67a0fa1802f3de60da1e67ce1
Machine
JSON