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Milepost
1490

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 24 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1489

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 16°F warmer

42°F in the 20261023T00:00Z run, 58°F in the 20261024T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 31 at 09Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 41.9°F in the 20261023T00:00Z cycle to 58.0°F in the 20261024T06:00Z — a move of +16.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
16.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17 °F normal 16.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1489 · laid 2026-10-24T16:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261024T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
d236fa76e1368c434c93f85d5be324004ca66838d227e53dc300a10d7505e8a5
Machine
JSON