Chicago, Illinois Revisions
MILEPOST 1488
Chicago's forecast for Friday has moved 11°F warmer
58°F in the 20261022T12:00Z run, 69°F in the 20261024T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 30 at 21Z in Chicago, that trail runs from 58.3°F in the 20261022T12:00Z cycle to 69.0°F in the 20261024T00:00Z — a move of +10.7°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Friday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
10.7 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
19.7 °F | normal 10.7 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1488 · laid 2026-10-24T10:25:21Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261024T00:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 77abb76ed0eb84325565e6c04b9bb9eb6d585c94afa6ff0d8d2fa1bc54ab38f9
- Machine
- JSON