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Milepost
1488

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 24 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1487

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 13°F warmer

42°F in the 20261023T00:00Z run, 55°F in the 20261024T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 28°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 31 at 09Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 41.9°F in the 20261023T00:00Z cycle to 54.7°F in the 20261024T00:00Z — a move of +12.8°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
12.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
28.3 °F normal 12.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1487 · laid 2026-10-24T10:25:21Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261024T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
0f94717341c2aae4bdfc4116c774c4f027fc06d4a6a3a5e4f2dc46ed6b263866
Machine
JSON