Edition 2026-10-24 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1486

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 24 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1486

Minneapolis's forecast for Wednesday has moved 10°F warmer

43°F in the 20261022T00:00Z run, 52°F in the 20261023T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 28 at 03Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 42.5°F in the 20261022T00:00Z cycle to 52.2°F in the 20261023T18:00Z — a move of +9.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 03Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
13.2 °F normal 9.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1486 · laid 2026-10-24T04:25:22Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261023T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
c9878df1ac2c243315bc89329e69eb3ab961390a85c232ec34e67b78a0972734
Machine
JSON