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Milepost
1477

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 23 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1477

Minneapolis's forecast for Wednesday has moved 7°F warmer

53°F in the 20261021T00:00Z run, 60°F in the 20261022T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 28 at 18Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 52.7°F in the 20261021T00:00Z cycle to 59.6°F in the 20261022T18:00Z — a move of +6.9°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
6.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18.2 °F normal 6.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1477 · laid 2026-10-23T04:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261022T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
56b62fb50b858cbe1b2ac287a76afa3c6a6f14f8b01695dc877acf5940cddd01
Machine
JSON