Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1476
Kansas City's forecast for Wednesday has moved 7°F warmer
66°F in the 20261021T00:00Z run, 74°F in the 20261022T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 28 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 66.5°F in the 20261021T00:00Z cycle to 73.8°F in the 20261022T18:00Z — a move of +7.4°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Wednesday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
7.4 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
12.6 °F | normal 7.4 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1476 · laid 2026-10-23T04:25:20Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261022T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- d3eae3a17a0f4cf82c1166b482424a9e1c078622efe2ad54bf3860c91c5e4f02
- Machine
- JSON