Edition 2026-10-23 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1477

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 23 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1475

Boston's forecast for Wednesday has moved 9°F colder

49°F in the 20261021T00:00Z run, 40°F in the 20261022T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 8°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 28 at 03Z in Boston, that trail runs from 49.2°F in the 20261021T00:00Z cycle to 40.0°F in the 20261022T18:00Z — a move of -9.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 03Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
8.5 °F normal 9.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1475 · laid 2026-10-23T04:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261022T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
299f8b3417a6493826cb1a7b65cb5f4938cbb7992b7a28470ab72fd5e74b963f
Machine
JSON