Edition 2026-10-22 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1472

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 22 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1471

Boston's forecast for Wednesday has moved 7°F colder

44°F in the 20261020T18:00Z run, 37°F in the 20261022T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 28 at 06Z in Boston, that trail runs from 44.3°F in the 20261020T18:00Z cycle to 37.5°F in the 20261022T12:00Z — a move of -6.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-6.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
10.6 °F normal 6.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1471 · laid 2026-10-22T21:25:24Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261022T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
d5410ba8afdff76318e7871e8379cd15dd1900d2c4bd83e2f7f5b1c43245057b
Machine
JSON