New York, New York Revisions
MILEPOST 1464
New York's forecast for Thursday has moved 7°F warmer
48°F in the 20261020T06:00Z run, 55°F in the 20261022T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 29 at 12Z in New York, that trail runs from 47.9°F in the 20261020T06:00Z cycle to 55.3°F in the 20261022T00:00Z — a move of +7.4°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Thursday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
7.4 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
10.8 °F | normal 7.4 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1464 · laid 2026-10-22T10:25:19Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261022T00:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 3535f6b2f12006eced39dccfd393c055d99036e71be3c4dd6510a7235be95f1f
- Machine
- JSON