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Milepost
1465

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 22 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1463

Boston's forecast for Thursday has moved 8°F warmer

36°F in the 20261020T06:00Z run, 45°F in the 20261022T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 29 at 12Z in Boston, that trail runs from 36.4°F in the 20261020T06:00Z cycle to 44.9°F in the 20261022T00:00Z — a move of +8.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.4 °F normal 8.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1463 · laid 2026-10-22T10:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261022T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
58be4762c0125398db6492fe1b52f084762409a2c0ff8a03b7daf15d598044c2
Machine
JSON