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Milepost
1461

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 22 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1461

Boston's forecast for Sunday has moved 9°F colder

44°F in the 20261020T00:00Z run, 36°F in the 20261021T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 6°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, October 25 at 09Z in Boston, that trail runs from 44.3°F in the 20261020T00:00Z cycle to 35.7°F in the 20261021T18:00Z — a move of -8.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-8.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
6.3 °F normal 8.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1461 · laid 2026-10-22T04:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261021T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
55e3475fc70e483f5610fa937b3a90bdffc4a21640dc2e28aad584f1ef0c92dc
Machine
JSON