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Milepost
1458

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 21 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1458

Boston's forecast for Saturday has moved 7°F colder

44°F in the 20261019T18:00Z run, 37°F in the 20261021T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 5°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 24 at 06Z in Boston, that trail runs from 44.1°F in the 20261019T18:00Z cycle to 37.3°F in the 20261021T12:00Z — a move of -6.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-6.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
4.9 °F normal 6.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1458 · laid 2026-10-21T22:25:18Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261021T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
79cc0c390911c8e15c8388a88f1535dd2949adc022830a7f579565a19fe94aba
Machine
JSON