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Milepost
1456

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 21 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1455

Boston's forecast for Sunday has moved 8°F colder

44°F in the 20261019T12:00Z run, 36°F in the 20261021T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 5°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, October 25 at 09Z in Boston, that trail runs from 43.8°F in the 20261019T12:00Z cycle to 36.2°F in the 20261021T06:00Z — a move of -7.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-7.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
5 °F normal 7.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1455 · laid 2026-10-21T16:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261021T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e602fa84eb2524bc68a0f4e6534f452b8a4ee418ab264f144157e895816c5831
Machine
JSON