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Milepost
1450

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 20 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1450

Boston's forecast for Thursday has moved 8°F colder

45°F in the 20261018T18:00Z run, 37°F in the 20261020T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 29 at 12Z in Boston, that trail runs from 44.9°F in the 20261018T18:00Z cycle to 37.1°F in the 20261020T12:00Z — a move of -7.7°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-7.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
13.9 °F normal 7.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1450 · laid 2026-10-20T22:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261020T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
21ee47f74e7d6915217e1807d2d30cf9d4ee88f96ef13f8c072ba8f18d929f20
Machine
JSON