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Milepost
1460

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 22 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1448

Salt Lake City's forecast for Friday has moved 8°F warmer

57°F in the 20261018T18:00Z run, 65°F in the 20261020T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 9°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 23 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 56.8°F in the 20261018T18:00Z cycle to 65.2°F in the 20261020T12:00Z — a move of +8.4°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
9 °F normal 8.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1448 · laid 2026-10-20T22:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261020T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
10f90673f0c6c8a217c43238450cf4ca5d58537d004f86323a43d9dfd9c63f7c
Machine
JSON