Edition 2026-10-20 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1447

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 20 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1445

Minneapolis's forecast for Tuesday has moved 13°F colder

52°F in the 20261018T12:00Z run, 38°F in the 20261020T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 27 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 51.6°F in the 20261018T12:00Z cycle to 38.2°F in the 20261020T06:00Z — a move of -13.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-13.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.1 °F normal 13.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1445 · laid 2026-10-20T16:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261020T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
cb22e39e63bfca57868c81ff908df03035085707ce609c2a5bf850e279c5a0f9
Machine
JSON