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Milepost
1444

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 20 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1443

Salt Lake City's forecast for Thursday has moved 7°F warmer

50°F in the 20261018T06:00Z run, 57°F in the 20261020T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 29 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 50.0°F in the 20261018T06:00Z cycle to 57.1°F in the 20261020T00:00Z — a move of +7.1°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.3 °F normal 7.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1443 · laid 2026-10-20T10:25:18Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261020T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
34cee8c1c662763957f03f1ed2c6bfe960c6c1ffab3685bdeb2c1ff3a3f4e3e0
Machine
JSON