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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 144

November 20, 2023 Thanksgiving Week

Major cities escape snowfall from very wet frontal system

What the month did

November 2023 was the 22nd-warmest November in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 44.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 43.0°F (+1.3°F).

November 2023 was the 12th-driest November in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.3in (-0.9in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

The major weather maker for the week is an area of low pressure developing in over Oklahoma today and tracking into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and then offshore New England on Wednesday. The low pressure is not rapidly developing or a “bomb cyclone” as some weather model forecasts showed a few days ago (GFS).

Severe weather is a major threat later tonight in Louisiana to Mississippi. Then, heavy rain extends along a cold front from the Ohio Valley into the Southeast over the next 2-days. Accumulations of 2-inches or more will fall across a large area of real estate especially for late-November.

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Milepost
144 · laid 2023-11-20T12:52:51.155000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/november-20-2023-thanksgiving-week
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