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Milepost
1439

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 19 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1439

Salt Lake City's forecast for Wednesday has moved 10°F warmer

50°F in the 20261017T18:00Z run, 60°F in the 20261019T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 28 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 49.9°F in the 20261017T18:00Z cycle to 59.8°F in the 20261019T12:00Z — a move of +10.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18 °F normal 10.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1439 · laid 2026-10-19T22:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261019T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
bfc39e392cb4c4e016109f48427f5d417a2af350f159a46db3477d2a566f54cf
Machine
JSON