Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1438
Kansas City's forecast for Wednesday has moved 10°F colder
62°F in the 20261017T12:00Z run, 53°F in the 20261019T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 11 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 26°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 28 at 12Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 62.3°F in the 20261017T12:00Z cycle to 52.8°F in the 20261019T06:00Z — a move of -9.5°F across 8 runs.
The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Wednesday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-9.5 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 11 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
25.7 °F | normal 9.5 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1438 · laid 2026-10-19T16:25:21Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261019T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 58d294ec020a71230c1de710668e21ab3d20ee219ffeb56a343bcd3d13c8f8e7
- Machine
- JSON