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Milepost
1435

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 19 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1435

Salt Lake City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 7°F warmer

52°F in the 20261017T06:00Z run, 59°F in the 20261019T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 27 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 52.3°F in the 20261017T06:00Z cycle to 59.4°F in the 20261019T00:00Z — a move of +7.2°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.8 °F normal 7.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1435 · laid 2026-10-19T10:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261019T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
1a26993c0fa19e351aa0e9371bf8aeae9c1925ed6b1be2926808dea3f4e5a094
Machine
JSON