Edition 2026-10-18 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1431

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 18 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1431

Boston's forecast for Saturday has moved 8°F colder

48°F in the 20261016T18:00Z run, 40°F in the 20261018T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 9°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 24 at 12Z in Boston, that trail runs from 47.9°F in the 20261016T18:00Z cycle to 40.0°F in the 20261018T12:00Z — a move of -7.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-7.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
8.6 °F normal 7.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1431 · laid 2026-10-18T22:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261018T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
342bdb2d77a721f31585879c6e3f8710b313d1a7ef2ebfb134d15c15ae0d72f5
Machine
JSON