Edition 2026-10-18 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1431

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 18 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1429

Salt Lake City's forecast for Thursday has moved 9°F warmer

58°F in the 20261016T18:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261018T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 22 at 21Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 57.6°F in the 20261016T18:00Z cycle to 66.5°F in the 20261018T12:00Z — a move of +8.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
14.4 °F normal 8.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1429 · laid 2026-10-18T22:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261018T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
796958ecfb91d8817ad457eb304286244961a91a875e77a9a95ca5d70605d578
Machine
JSON