Edition 2026-10-18 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1420

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 18 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1418

Denver's forecast for Sunday has moved 10°F colder

67°F in the 20261016T00:00Z run, 57°F in the 20261017T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, October 25 at 00Z in Denver, that trail runs from 67.2°F in the 20261016T00:00Z cycle to 57.2°F in the 20261017T18:00Z — a move of -9.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18.7 °F normal 9.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1418 · laid 2026-10-18T04:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261017T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
bc11f35ce5697842c477f05977aea986dac36c988a03602f697122d5436ce4c9
Machine
JSON