Edition 2026-10-17 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1414

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 17 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1413

Denver's forecast for Saturday has moved 10°F warmer

57°F in the 20261016T12:00Z run, 67°F in the 20261017T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 24 at 21Z in Denver, that trail runs from 56.8°F in the 20261016T12:00Z cycle to 66.9°F in the 20261017T06:00Z — a move of +10.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.1 °F normal 10.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1413 · laid 2026-10-17T16:25:18Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261017T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
b1f780a8119299c39080d855fb2a1c280aa997fa27b92556fdc62b4cde4e59a4
Machine
JSON