Edition 2026-10-17 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1411

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 17 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1410

Denver's forecast for Tuesday has moved 11°F warmer

59°F in the 20261015T12:00Z run, 70°F in the 20261017T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 27 at 00Z in Denver, that trail runs from 58.9°F in the 20261015T12:00Z cycle to 69.8°F in the 20261017T00:00Z — a move of +10.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
10.7 °F normal 10.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1410 · laid 2026-10-17T10:25:18Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261017T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e00de25eaef987c663a7d2102ee8a30d1ad2e2ec5b114e87b3f9b671f96484d9
Machine
JSON