Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions
MILEPOST 1407
Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 6°F warmer
53°F in the 20261015T00:00Z run, 60°F in the 20261016T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 24 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 53.4°F in the 20261015T00:00Z cycle to 59.7°F in the 20261016T18:00Z — a move of +6.4°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
6.4 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 4 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
10 °F | normal 6.4 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1407 · laid 2026-10-17T04:25:17Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261016T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 9910fb7dee580c56017547d17aa66822360d4aa348b3f211a79b3bdb5b02f0fa
- Machine
- JSON