Edition 2026-10-17 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1406

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 17 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1403

Denver's forecast for Saturday has moved 14°F colder

68°F in the 20261014T18:00Z run, 54°F in the 20261016T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 24 at 18Z in Denver, that trail runs from 67.8°F in the 20261014T18:00Z cycle to 53.6°F in the 20261016T12:00Z — a move of -14.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-14.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.5 °F normal 14.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1403 · laid 2026-10-16T22:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261016T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
3422c24d908e0e8b48190f23c2f52a12d8d39d6801f3de4dfe1203f2803dfada
Machine
JSON