Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1402
Kansas City's forecast for Monday has moved 6°F colder
59°F in the 20261014T12:00Z run, 53°F in the 20261016T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 7°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 19 at 15Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 59.1°F in the 20261014T12:00Z cycle to 52.8°F in the 20261016T06:00Z — a move of -6.3°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Monday at 15Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-6.3 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 3 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
7.2 °F | normal 6.3 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1402 · laid 2026-10-16T16:25:19Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261016T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 41c01538189feff283b8557fdf12c3e72155c9813d1345b71cc2b757a54668c6
- Machine
- JSON