Edition 2026-10-16 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1402

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 16 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1401

Boston's forecast for Monday has moved 8°F colder

61°F in the 20261014T12:00Z run, 53°F in the 20261016T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 6°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 19 at 21Z in Boston, that trail runs from 61.4°F in the 20261014T12:00Z cycle to 53.1°F in the 20261016T06:00Z — a move of -8.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-8.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
5.8 °F normal 8.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1401 · laid 2026-10-16T16:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261016T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
ca95a8a3029ad2bd679ceb2db8ee89f7e93299532e36fdb249cc8eab544356f8
Machine
JSON