Edition 2026-10-16 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1402

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 16 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1400

Denver's forecast for Saturday has moved 10°F colder

66°F in the 20261014T12:00Z run, 56°F in the 20261016T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 24 at 18Z in Denver, that trail runs from 65.6°F in the 20261014T12:00Z cycle to 55.5°F in the 20261016T06:00Z — a move of -10.1°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-10.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
21.2 °F normal 10.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1400 · laid 2026-10-16T16:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261016T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
dd05cc9999742ce8449f31fbc269b3d41f9b5e801f6f2dea7fcfe8f4038db1ae
Machine
JSON