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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 140

November 13, 2023 Week Ahead

Gulf coast rainfall beneficial for parched Louisiana

What the month did

November 2023 was the 22nd-warmest November in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 44.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 43.0°F (+1.3°F).

November 2023 was the 12th-driest November in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.3in (-0.9in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Generally quiet weather pattern for much of the U.S. with exceptions along the West and Gulf of Mexico coasts. An area of low pressure develops in the northern Gulf of Mexico and provides considerable moisture transport onshore and beneficial rainfall especially for Louisiana. This low could become an impactful system for the Northeast later this weekend if it can phase with an approaching cold-front. However, that’s about the only major weather threat on the horizon.

Very comfortable across much of the Lower 48 with 60s and lower 70s from Montana to Jacksonville, Florida. If you want heat and some humidity, then Florida south of Interstate 4 still has 85-90°F temperatures. Or, Phoenix in the mid-80s.

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Milepost
140 · laid 2023-11-13T13:59:36.752000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/november-13-2023-week-ahead
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