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Milepost
1398

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 16 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1398

Denver's forecast for Friday has moved 9°F warmer

64°F in the 20261014T00:00Z run, 73°F in the 20261015T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 9°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 23 at 00Z in Denver, that trail runs from 64.4°F in the 20261014T00:00Z cycle to 72.9°F in the 20261015T18:00Z — a move of +8.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
8.9 °F normal 8.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1398 · laid 2026-10-16T04:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261015T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a7c857c45c4a0e8336ee9db0935c298f94b609421261c89f4a339f59ddfaa7d5
Machine
JSON