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Milepost
1388

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 15 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1386

Boston's forecast for Saturday has moved 13°F warmer

52°F in the 20261013T00:00Z run, 65°F in the 20261014T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 8°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 17 at 03Z in Boston, that trail runs from 51.7°F in the 20261013T00:00Z cycle to 64.7°F in the 20261014T18:00Z — a move of +13.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 03Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
13 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
8.1 °F normal 13.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1386 · laid 2026-10-15T04:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261014T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
c2d705732fdceacf83a2d1e3974c57d62a53b8d8663157a9d95608a6b2ab14f6
Machine
JSON