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Milepost
1384

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1384

Salt Lake City's forecast for Wednesday has moved 11°F warmer

51°F in the 20261012T18:00Z run, 62°F in the 20261014T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 21 at 18Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 50.6°F in the 20261012T18:00Z cycle to 61.8°F in the 20261014T12:00Z — a move of +11.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
11.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18.2 °F normal 11.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1384 · laid 2026-10-14T22:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261014T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
8cec29da4e3c980917419175265512d09f4d56ea098931facd1589e1b4e5791d
Machine
JSON