Edition 2026-10-14 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1384

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1383

Denver's forecast for Friday has moved 12°F warmer

58°F in the 20261012T18:00Z run, 70°F in the 20261014T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 23 at 00Z in Denver, that trail runs from 58.2°F in the 20261012T18:00Z cycle to 69.7°F in the 20261014T12:00Z — a move of +11.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
11.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20 °F normal 11.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1383 · laid 2026-10-14T22:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261014T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
43d540333f78f8b1016eb79cc939858408142326b01b1b3019e5c4c00b590b76
Machine
JSON