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Milepost
1382

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1381

Boston's forecast for Saturday has moved 12°F warmer

52°F in the 20261012T12:00Z run, 64°F in the 20261014T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 17 at 03Z in Boston, that trail runs from 52.4°F in the 20261012T12:00Z cycle to 64.3°F in the 20261014T06:00Z — a move of +11.9°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 03Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
11.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
9.7 °F normal 11.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1381 · laid 2026-10-14T16:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261014T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
4f4c0333f7eb27db6346bf91f4c3551a6e1a379af45562d4327618583294eec5
Machine
JSON