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Milepost
1380

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1379

Salt Lake City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 9°F warmer

56°F in the 20261012T06:00Z run, 65°F in the 20261014T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 20 at 18Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 55.9°F in the 20261012T06:00Z cycle to 65.2°F in the 20261014T00:00Z — a move of +9.3°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.1 °F normal 9.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1379 · laid 2026-10-14T10:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261014T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
85dab363bce31c9fecfda6fd15c2d178b2d2dde18a53c7e408d8e8f3efc10d03
Machine
JSON