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Milepost
1377

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Atlanta, Georgia Revisions MILEPOST 1377

Atlanta's forecast for Saturday has moved 8°F colder

68°F in the 20261012T00:00Z run, 60°F in the 20261013T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 17 at 03Z in Atlanta, that trail runs from 68.1°F in the 20261012T00:00Z cycle to 59.6°F in the 20261013T18:00Z — a move of -8.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 03Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-8.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
13 °F normal 8.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1377 · laid 2026-10-14T04:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261013T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a98e62c3c6ef652167e870ecb915f6601c4d21a05dbd443c7c8145e90367a2fa
Machine
JSON