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Milepost
1369

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 13 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1369

Minneapolis's forecast for Thursday has moved 8°F warmer

51°F in the 20261011T00:00Z run, 59°F in the 20261012T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 22 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 50.9°F in the 20261011T00:00Z cycle to 59.2°F in the 20261012T18:00Z — a move of +8.3°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18 °F normal 8.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1369 · laid 2026-10-13T04:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261012T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
272c7aa6f61ce94b3db4520f16255a252b726083e45abd156454bc73fa4959af
Machine
JSON