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Milepost
1367

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 12 October 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1367

Dallas's forecast for Monday has moved 9°F warmer

67°F in the 20261010T18:00Z run, 76°F in the 20261012T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 11 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 19 at 00Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 67.0°F in the 20261010T18:00Z cycle to 76.3°F in the 20261012T12:00Z — a move of +9.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 11
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.6 °F normal 9.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1367 · laid 2026-10-12T22:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261012T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e0a677edb140e4476a26872dbd61d2601cd2cf2f44d6e4f0bbd4145c6779a158
Machine
JSON