Edition 2026-10-12 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1367

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 12 October 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1366

Nashville's forecast for Friday has moved 10°F colder

77°F in the 20261010T18:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261012T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 16 at 18Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 76.6°F in the 20261010T18:00Z cycle to 66.4°F in the 20261012T12:00Z — a move of -10.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-10.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 11
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.7 °F normal 10.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1366 · laid 2026-10-12T22:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261012T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
5d229580f5e16e08fcdb657c0757e6833317f9553ed6592ce9ed6b309bcc781e
Machine
JSON